Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002482 0.002631 0.002790 0.002975 0.003184 0.003415 0.003693
2025-05-04 0.002315 0.002527 0.002767 0.003065 0.003429 0.003870 0.004459
2025-05-11 0.002155 0.002401 0.002690 0.003066 0.003556 0.004196 0.005142
2025-05-18 0.002078 0.002356 0.002697 0.003160 0.003802 0.004710 0.006220
2025-05-25 0.001969 0.002260 0.002625 0.003138 0.003881 0.005002 0.007063
2025-06-01 0.001865 0.002159 0.002535 0.003077 0.003889 0.005179 0.007771
2025-06-08 0.001824 0.002134 0.002541 0.003147 0.004099 0.005727 0.009488
2025-06-15 0.001779 0.002101 0.002532 0.003191 0.004271 0.006253 0.011571
2025-06-22 0.001711 0.002032 0.002467 0.003143 0.004282 0.006473 0.013048
2025-06-29 0.001646 0.001964 0.002398 0.003082 0.004262 0.006624 0.014492
2025-07-06 0.001593 0.001908 0.002343 0.003039 0.004266 0.006829 0.016455
2025-07-13 0.001509 0.001807 0.002218 0.002875 0.004031 0.006438 0.015398
2025-07-20 0.001473 0.001774 0.002193 0.002875 0.004111 0.006836 0.019015
2025-07-27 0.001459 0.001771 0.002212 0.002950 0.004348 0.007723 0.029564
2025-08-03 0.001427 0.001739 0.002187 0.002948 0.004431 0.008246 0.043183
2025-08-10 0.001418 0.001741 0.002212 0.003033 0.004713 0.009547 0.148997
2025-08-17 0.001385 0.001706 0.002179 0.003013 0.004759 0.010095 4.210228
2025-08-24 0.001346 0.001661 0.002127 0.002955 0.004713 0.010276 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001336 0.001658 0.002142 0.003020 0.004967 0.011916 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001321 0.001648 0.002144 0.003060 0.005170 0.013618 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001290 0.001613 0.002103 0.003016 0.005148 0.014087 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001259 0.001575 0.002058 0.002960 0.005087 0.014298 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001232 0.001544 0.002022 0.002920 0.005065 0.014775 NaN